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  <front xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>Technoeconomics</journal-title>
        <trans-title-group xml:lang="ru">
          <trans-title>Technoeconomics</trans-title>
        </trans-title-group>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn pub-type="epub">2949-1290</issn>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">2</article-id>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.57809/2024.3.4.11.2</article-id>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Forecasting using complex-valued autoregression with error</article-title>
        <trans-title-group xml:lang="ru">
          <trans-title>Прогнозирование с использованием комплекснозначной авторегрессии с ошибкой</trans-title>
        </trans-title-group>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Maskaeva</surname>
            <given-names>Ksenia</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <aff id="aff1">Peter the Great St.Petersburg Polytechnic University</aff>
      <pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2024-12-27">
        <day>27</day>
        <month>12</month>
        <year>2024</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>3</volume>
      <issue>4</issue>
      <issue-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">11</issue-id>
      <fpage>14</fpage>
      <lpage>27</lpage>
      <self-uri xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" content-type="pdf" xlink:href="https://technoeconomics.spbstu.ru/userfiles/files/Issues/11/2-Maskaeva.pdf"/>
      <abstract xml:lang="en">
        <p>This article discusses the possibility of predicting the values of a series using complex-valued autoregression with an error for short-term forecasting. The authors consider the basic concepts of the function of a complex-valued variable and the model of complexvalued autoregression, together with the results of applying first- and second-order models of complex-valued autoregression with the CARE(p) error to describe and predict the initial series. The results obtained are compared with the first- and second-order autoregression in real numbers. A complex-valued autoregression model with an error showed a more accurate result for short-term forecasting, unlike the autoregression model in real numbers. The authors also conclude that complex-valued autoregression with an error is subject to further investigation in order to find out the prospects of using its imaginary part.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group xml:lang="en">
        <kwd>complex-valued autoregression with error</kwd>
        <kwd>complex numbers</kwd>
        <kwd>short-term forecasting</kwd>
        <kwd>autoregressive model</kwd>
        <kwd>standard deviation</kwd>
        <kwd>function of complex-valued variable</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
</article>
